Pain at the pumps

Data InsightDebtDynamics 29 March

Pain at the pumps

War in Ukraine hits average bids in fossil fuel-reliant sectors

Leveraged loan issuance has dropped significantly this year, trailing the 2021 figure to date by 51% at only USD 196.2bn. The institutional segment of the market is also lagging last year’s pace of issuance, with the year-to-date (YTD) volume of USD 122bn dwarfed by 2021’s USD 183.5bn. At only USD 19bn YTD, March issuance is on pace to be one of the slowest months since 2020.

At the same time, primary market pricing has jumped to its highest point since the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic sent shockwaves through the financial system in 2020, as inflation risks and ongoing uncertainty stemming from the war in Ukraine demand higher yields for investors willing to take on the additional risks. At 415 basis points (bps) in March, average margins on first-lien institutional term loans are at their highest mark since the 438bps average back in November 2020. Throughout 2021, borrowers had access to relatively cheap capital, as yield-starved investors were willing to accept lower payouts to put dry powder to work, helping drive issuance.

Talk is cheap: More deals flex wide of talk as investors gain leverage

Indicative of the tougher pricing environment, more tranches flexed pricing wider in February (eight tranches worth USD 5.3bn) than tightened pricing (five tranches for USD 4.8bn). So far in March, eight tranches worth USD 3.5bn have seen pricing finalize wide of initial talk, while no borrowers have been able to negotiate tighter pricing during syndication. Indeed, some processes have been drawn out of late, as borrowers and lenders sort out appropriate pricing during this period of heightened volatility.

Communications firm Viasat priced a USD 700m TLB due 2029 75bps wide of initial talk at SOFR+ 450bps (50bps floor) and a 98 OID. Allocations, which were originally expected by 17 February, were not finalized until 24 February after pricing was adjusted. Weber-Stephens Products similarly moved pricing out 50bps from talk to price its USD 250m incremental loan at SOFR+ 425bps (75bps floor) and a 97.5 OID.

Enticing pricing: Deep discounts offered on recent credits to lure prospective investors

Average discounts offered on new loan issuance rocketed to an average of 169bps in March, as borrowers offer investors incentives to lend during presently high levels of inflation and uncertainty. Covis Pharma priced a USD 595m TLB at a 90 OID following a drawn-out syndication process that saw investors negotiate a significant discount following concerns over the company’s product concentration. More recently, SPX Flow has been forced to offer a discount of 95.5 on its USD 1.61bn TLB due 2029 to support its acquisition by Lone Star Funds.

Other issuers have not been so lucky, such as Callaway Golf and Goodnight Midstream, which shelved their deals indefinitely, citing adverse market conditions.

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