Day 2 (27 June)
- On-demand
- About
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Agenda09.00 - 09.45JST
Japan Private Equity in 2024 – is this time different?
Japan became the largest regional private equity market in APAC in 2023 at 30% of APAC deal value (vs. 5-10% historically). Deal value hit an all-time high of JPY 5.9T, nearly 2x more than the high-water marks set in 2022 and 2023. These headline growth numbers are as strong as in the first boom of Private Equity in Japan before the global financial crisis, prompting the question: Is this time different?
Bain’s presentation explores the market’s headroom for growth, the momentum of the tailwinds it enjoys today, but also some of the challenges the market may face in the coming years. In the last year, the tailwind of corporate governance improvements received new momentum with TSE’s focus on PBR and capital efficiency. Updates to the M&A code are enabling unsolicited bids and emphasize “market checks” on bids that can provide PE an entry into corporate M&A deal processes. As interest in China wanes, funding aimed at Japan is increasing. In-market investors that capitalize on this interest by growing their fund size must be mindful of the implications: their target universe shrinks, and they may encounter different competitors as they chase larger deals. New-to-market investors that are attracted by Japan Private Equity’s success must be mindful what it really takes to succeed. For all investors, the shifts in competition strengthen the imperative for a very pro-active approach to value creation.
09.45 - 10.30JSTAsia spotlight: Relight the fire
Asian private equity endured a difficult 2023, with substantial drop-offs in fundraising, investment, and exits. China, traditionally the region’s largest market, is unappetising or out-of-bounds for many investors amid concerns about geopolitics and weaker economic prospects. It’s not all bad news. South East Asia has emerged as a fast growing sub region to help with diversification and India’s growth and scale are viewed as a counterpoint to China. DPI is front of mind for investors, and GPs and LPs are having to be resourceful to generate distributions whether that is via secondaries, continuation vehicles or other liquidity solutions. Our panellists discuss where to find the best risk-return and how to access the market whether that is via a regional or country fund.
- How do you make the case for Asia, given performance has trailed other regions?
- What are the best ways to access Asia’s long-term growth story?
- Why aren’t there more sector specialist GPs in the region?
- Is it time to take a contrarian view on China?
10:30 - 11:00JSTNetworking break
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11.00 - 11.45JSTPrivate credit: A popular play
Private credit has become a must-have asset class. Not only can investors leverage longstanding trends connected to the withdrawal of banks from traditional lending, but a higher interest rate environment means they get paid more in the process. LPs have plenty to choose from in terms of risk-return dynamics. However, the lingering question is whether GPs have what it takes to manage positions should macro conditions deteriorate. Our experienced credit investors consider the opportunity set.
- How are macro trends shaping investment opportunities?
- Which private credit strategies currently offer the best risk-return?
- What happens if there is an uptick in defaults by borrowers?
- Where on credit spectrum have Japanese LPs traditionally liked to play?
11.45 - 12.30JSTActivist investors: Disruptive influence
Japan has seen a surge in activist investor campaigns in recent years, spurred by a combination of government policies pushing for better capital efficiency among domestic corporates and more breakthroughs at the board level. High-profile international investors are increasingly looking at the market. For private equity, there are positive and negative consequences. While activists could encourage divestments, they may equally stymy take-private processes by agitating for higher prices. Our market experts assess the activist impact.
- In what ways are governance and regulatory pressure driving the activist agenda?
- How can private equity take advantage of investor activism?
- What can be learned from recent campaigns, both successes and failures?
- Are activist investors approaching Japan differently to other markets?
12.30 - 13.15JSTInternational LP spotlight: Next stop Japan
While managers across Asia are wary about returning to market, a slew of Japanese fundraises have come in oversubscribed and above target. LPs are being cut back or turned away, even as funds increase in size from previous vintages. For international investors looking for Japan expose, it’s not just a matter of access but finding partners that are a good fit for the perceived market sweet spot. LPs explain how they navigate a hot geography.
- To what extent is Japan the attractive Asia investment destination for international LPs?
- Are Japanese private equity firms becoming too big, too fast?
- What more could be done to facilitate LP co-investment?
- How do Japan’s returns stack up globally and within Asia?
13.15 - 14.15JSTLunch
14:15 - 14:20JSTClose of conference
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