Day 2
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Agenda09.00 - 09.45JST
Japan Private Equity in 2025, continuing growth?
After an all-time high in deal-making in 2023, 2024 clocked a solid JPY 3T in deal value. Bears would say it was down vs. 2023 and the excitement for Japan has dampened a bit. Bulls would point towards 2024’s deal values as firmly settling the market’s deal value at levels 4-5x those of a decade earlier, while pipelines remain strong and 2025 is off to a good start too.
Bain’s presentation explores the state of the market and its potential, with attention to the impact that some of the more recent changes, such as changes to the M&A code, are really having. Additionally, Bain will consider the implications for PE firms operating in the market, as existing firms grow their fund sizes, new entrants are building out their teams, and competition remains strong.
09.45 - 10.30JSTAsia outlook: A question of risk and return
Assorted concerns around macroeconomics, geopolitics, and liquidity have prompted investors to shuffle their priorities in Asia, with some international players reducing their allocations to the region. While developed Asia – and to some extent India – appear to be most in favour, all sub-regional and country managers must explain why they should be part of a global portfolio. For all the risks attached to Asia, its growth profile could still translate into outsize returns.
How should GPs go about communicating the Asia opportunity in 2025?
Is there a danger that certain geographies are being oversold?
To what extent are Asia’s emerging economies becoming buyout friendly?
How are exit channels evolving across the region?
10.30 - 10.55JSTNetworking break
10.55 - 11.40JSTJapan’s mid-market: An evolving landscape
Middle market buyouts are the constant of Japan private equity, characterised by founder-succession dynamics, low entry multiples, limited competition, and ample upside through professionalisation of management. Change has typically involved a couple more participants in closely held auction processes and technology creeping into value creation plans. International interest can now be added to this mix, as GPs from China and beyond look to address an undervalued and undercapitalised market, often as partners to local managers.
What can GPs do to differentiate themselves from other suitors?
Are rising valuations making it harder to deliver attractive returns?
How big is the take-private opportunity for middle-market managers?
Are international GPs competitors, partners, or portfolio company acquirors?
11.40 - 12.25JSTFundraising: The rise of private wealth
Japan’s wholesale investor segment, which captures a broad swath of family offices and high net worth individuals, represents an intriguing target for private equity. These groups can differ markedly from institutional investors in terms of sophistication, education, risk appetite, culture nuisances, economic objectives and liquidity requirements. Yet early movers have demonstrated there is demand for the right products. Astute marketing and cultivation of relationships with local distributors are essential to achieving breakthrough.
Is evergreen the best option when targeting Japan private wealth?
How should GPs go about engaging local distribution partners?
Is there scope for customisation in areas like fees, capital calls, and reporting?
What more can be done in terms of education and expectations management?
12.25 - 13.20JSTActivist investors: Changing the game
Activist investor campaigns continue apace in Japan, driven by government policies pushing for better capital efficiency and corporate governance among domestic corporates. Activist proposals are increasingly being supported by other shareholders aiding breakthroughs at the board level. This is a net positive for private equity, which is seeing more deal flow through carve-outs and take-privates. However, the public attention and nature of take-private activism can result in higher prices and fierce competition.
What can be learned from recent campaigns, both successes and failures?
How are private equity firms inserting themselves into the activism space?
To what extent is the activist agenda becoming more nuanced or targeted?
How does Japan compare to other jurisdictions in terms of activism opportunities?
13.20 - 14.20JSTLunch and Close of Conference
Sponsored by
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SpeakersTim Burroughs Managing Editor Global Private Funds, and Managing Editor, AVCJ Mergermarket
Sueann Yeo Head of APAC Private Wealth EQT Partners
Junji Yokokura Managing Director / Head of Private Equity Financial Sponsor Coverage KPMG FAS
Toby Rodes Co-Founder Kaname Capital
Shimpei Kanzaki Managing Director, Head of Japan Global Wealth Apollo Management Japan Limited
Saurabh Chatterjee Managing Director ChrysCapital
Jim Verbeeten Partner Bain & Company
Azusa Owa Partner Bain & Company
Pongpat Tantivashinchai Partner Navis Capital Partners
Paul Ford Partner, Deal Advisory, Head of Private Equity KPMG FAS Co., Ltd
Nicholas Smith Japan Strategist CLSA
Samon Suwannarat Co-Founder / Managing Partner 10 Bridge Capital
Vincent Ng Managing Director and Co-Head of Asia Partners Group
Ray Yamaguchi Managing Director L Catterton
Shohei Akiyama Partner, Managing Director, Head of NVP and Business Support Team, Management Committee Member NSSK
Makiko Hayase Partner Integral
Tatsuya Kubo Managing Director HarbourVest Partners (Japan) Limited
Jesper Koll Senior Adviser Monex Group - Japan Catalyst Fund
Vincent Churk Principal, Morgan Stanley Private Equity Solutions Morgan Stanley Investment Management
Maki Mitsui Managing Director – Partner Carlyle Japan Equity Management LLC
Yasunori Maeda Managing Director Sunrise Capital
Nikhil Srivastava Partner and Co-Head of Private Equity PAG
Brian Heywood Founding Partner and CEO Taiyo Pacific Partners
James Smith Founder & CIO Palliser Capital
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