Infralogic Investors Forum Europe 2024

  • 08:30

    Registration and networking breakfast

  • 09:20

    Infralogic welcome

     EMEA infrastructure M&A landscape – setting the scene for 2025. 

  • 09:25

    Infralogic data presentation

    In this welcoming presentation, Infralogic will delve into the latest market analytics to set out where we see the infrastructure M&A market heading for 2025.

    Giulio Comellini
    Giulio Comellini Head of Data Strategy, Infrastructure and Energy, Infralogic
  • 09:30

    Opening panel discussion – Generating value amidst uncertainty

    Fundraising activity for infrastructure funds is picking up and M&A deal flow is improving after a difficult 2023, but plenty of uncertainty remains. Inflation and interest rates appear to be stabilising, but geopolitical tensions persist and regulatory risk for some core infrastructure assets has never been higher. How are infrastructure investors navigating these choppy waters? 

    In this scene setting session panellists will discuss:  

    • Has fundraising returned to form in 2024 and how is it expected to evolve in 2025? 

    • Is the gradual lowering of interest rates influencing infrastructure funds’ investment decisions? 

    • Is the M&A market fully open in all infrastructure and energy sectors? Are there valuation gaps and where are they felt more acutely? Are more M&A deals being cancelled or delayed because of this? 

    • How are investors pricing regulatory risk as UK water is branded as “uninvestable” and regulated utilities across Europe experience headwinds? 

    • Is concentration among GPs playing a role in shaping fundraising and investment decisions? Are mid-cap funds still attractive as their larger peers get bigger? 

  • 10:15

    Panel discussion – should infrastructure funds target the power-to-x sector?

    Heralded as the next opportunity for energy investors, power-to-X has had a bumpy ride of late, not least energy giant Orsted scrapping a major e-methanol scheme. Regulatory support is being rolled out slowly, and project costs and supply chain issues have raised concerns about its viability. Yet infrastructure investors have continued to invest in new developers. How can they make offtakes work and turn PtX into a profitable investment? 

    • Do hydrogen and other power-to-x investments offer limited long-term offtakes and high production risks? 

    • What lessons can be learned from the first hydrogen auctions held in Europe? Are they enough to provide comfort to investors? 

    • What needs to be done to stimulate more demand and create a deep offtake market? 

    • Are investors pricing the risks associated with PtX correctly? Should these assets still be treated as venture capital? 

    • Are investors better off focusing on other more proven energy transition asset classes such as smart meters and renewables? 

    • Assess the bankability of supporting and associated infrastructure, including hydrogen pipelines, storage and CCUS? 

  • 11:00

    Morning refreshments and networking break

  • Sector Focus I – Data Centres

  • 11:30

    Panel discussion – Data centre investment in an evolving economic and technological landscape

    Data centres have continued to grow in popularity in recent years and this year the debt provided for data centre operators has already broken previous records, surpassing EUR 13bn. The scale of debt raises has increased, with infrastructure fund-backed operators securing financing packages in the multiple billions of euros. What is the future of investment in this sector when considering the growing role of AI and the increasing saturation of markets in Europe? 

    • Where do opportunities lie in the continuing data centre rollout in Europe and beyond? 

    • Valuations of data centre assets and nervousness around price expectations 

    • Assessing the evolving financing landscape and what this means for investors 

    • Could the growth of AI make some data centres obsolete, and what can investors do to protect their investments? 

  • Sector Focus II - Transportation

  • 12:15

    Panel discussion: Liberalisation and the changing face of European rail

    The effects of rail liberalisation in the EU are starting to appear, with new players emerging in France and elsewhere, and infrastructure investors showing interest in the sector. Antin this year announced the launch of Promixa, France’s first independent high speed rail operator, while Le Train is also seeking capital for high-speed rail services. New challengers to state rail operators have also emerged in Finland and other countries, while the channel tunnel route from the UK to mainland Europe also looks set to see new competitors emerging. 

    •  What are the attractions and risks of these investments for infrastructure funds?  

    • Will infrastructure funds continue to increasingly target train operating companies rather than focusing on rolling stock leasing as previously?  

    • Are other opportunities other than operating and leasing trains emerging for infrastructure investors? 

  • 13:00

    Networking lunch

  • Infrastructure strategies & financing

  • 14:00

    Panel discussion: Investing amidst uncertainty

    Core infrastructure fundraising and investing are dead. Only select core-plus strategies survive. Value-add is the way forwards. Or are these just misconceptions? Is the truth about the impact of high interest rates and inflation for infrastructure investors more complex?    

    • Have core funds successfully crossed the divide into core plus territory? 

    • Have some core funds stuck to their knitting in the hope of securing assets at rock bottom prices and achieving mid-teen type returns? 

    • Have core-plus strategies successfully tapped cheaper opportunities and pivoted to new sectors amidst the continuing high interest market?  

    • How lucrative has the value-add segment been given, and has it in some cases pushed risk too far? 

  • 14:45

    Panel discussion: Debt financing – shifting strategies to seek new opportunities

    During the past few months, lenders have provided billions of euros for gigafactories across Europe, and more debt is being raised for data centres, large-scale hydrogen projects and fixed and floating offshore wind farms. 

    Infralogic’s data show that for 2024, debt volumes are set to be likely to be in line with the past three years, in terms of greenfield and acquisition financings and refinancings. The recent changes in interest rates decided by central banks might have affected investment strategies and the type of debt deals that borrowers are looking for, but the debt markets have remained busy. 

    In the UK, the involvement of UKIB continues to be part of the equation for both new and more “traditional” assets, as in the case of UKIB planning guarantees for fibre companies raising debt. At the same time, acquisition loans and refinancings for sustainable transport and renewables have continued in high numbers, according to Infralogic data.   

    • How are the fluctuations in interest rates impacting investment decisions, and what is the current market sentiment? 

    • How is the pipeline for infrastructure financiers shifting? How bankable are new energy transition deals? Is the digital infrastructure sector set to continue offering large ticket deals as seen in recent years?  

    • What are the challenges for borrowers seeking to refinance infrastructure assets? what’s the appetite for big underwriting cheques in acquisition financing? 

    • Which strategies are the most appealing for infrastructure debt funds, senior or junior debt?  

  • 15:30

    Afternoon refreshments and networking break

  • 16:00

    Panel discussion – What do limited partners really want from infrastructure and energy GPs?

    What do limited partners really want from infrastructure and energy GPs? As investing gets more complex amid ever growing ESG requirements, LPs are demanding more information from their managers. LPs meanwhile are increasingly less focused on a single approach to fund investing, with some demanding for example ever greater co-investment rights.

    • GPs report being swamped with information requests from LPs. Is there a way of improving this process, such as by making it standardised?
    • LPs report significant variation in the level of communication from GPs, particularly around investments. What do the LPs on the panel think about this?
    • Do the panellists agree that LPs are taking a more varied approach to investing in GPs these days. For example, rather than just allocating to a fund some are only seeking co-investments.
    • What are the key things that the LP panellists require from infrastructure and energy GPs?
    • Are LPs returning to back first-time funds?
    • Finally, does the panel view GP consolidation as a positive or negative?


  • 16:45

    Close of conference remarks

  • 17:00

    Cocktail reception